Bitcoin (BTC) is on its way to a new bull market and should generate significant returns in the process, new analysis reveals
In a Tweet On April 2, Charles Edwards, founder of Bitcoin and digital asset hedge fund Capriole Investments, marked a “familiar” bullish sign in the SLRV Ribbons metric.
Edwards: SLRV starts a “new trend”
SLRV Ribbons is a tool to measure the potential profitability of Bitcoin. Introduced by Capriole in 2022, it is based on well-known analyst David Puell’s Short-Long-Term Realized Value (SLRV) index.
The SLRV ratio takes the percentage of BTC supply active in the last 24 hours and compares it to the last active 6-12 months ago. The result shows how comparatively active the short-term supply and the long-term supply are at a given point.
From this, an investor can get an idea of both sentiment and the likely price path, but over time, such bid values can change, Edwards argues.
SLRV Ribbons tries to address this by looking at the interaction between two moving averages. When its short-term 30-day moving average crosses the long-term 150-day moving average, Bitcoin is at the beginning of a bullish phase.
The metric “is about as simple as it gets” when it comes to reliable Bitcoin analytics tools, Edwards explained in an introductory blog post, and is currently repeating classic bullish behavior with a crossover set to take place in early 2023.
“A new trend in SLRV tape, and it looks familiar,” he summed up.
While relatively new, Edwards added that SLRV Ribbons had been tested to show both their reliability and their ability to improve BTC investment returns compared to buying and holding.
Bitcoin is still “cheap”
SLRV is not the only Bitcoin metric giving Edwards a sense of deja vu this month.
Bitcoin Yardstick, previously covered by Cointelegraph, reveals a recovery in Bitcoin’s market cap vs. hash rate, but still classifies BTC as “cheap” at current prices.
“The Bitcoin Yardstick is painting a very familiar signature for the 2019 lows,” he commented on March 31.
After breaking out of the “cheap” zone earlier that year, BTC/USD only saw a brief comeback during the COVID-19 cross-market crash of March 2020.
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