Morena governs 21 states, compared to two entities that the PRI has.
Delfina Gómez obtained 3.2 million votes compared to 2.7 million for Alejandra del Moral
Since 1929 the State of Mexico was governed by the PRI
Two things were demonstrated on June 5, the first is that The strong party in Mexico is Morenawhich surprises few, and the second is that we are not a good country in terms of polls. Once again, the difference presented by 11 pollsters showed that they are wrong up to 3 times in their forecast of victory or defeat. Being the most accurate of Rubrum which had a range of error of 1.2 percent, and the least accurate that of FactoMétrica that gave Delfina the victory with almost 25 points when in reality she won by 8 points.
In any other country in the world this level of imprecision would be a matter of scandalTherefore, in Mexico we have to review our processes and methodologies to carry out surveys that determine candidate preferences in democratic elections, especially in the face of presidential elections.
After these elections, we can specify that polls are missing their target to report opinion and voting trends. Practically are becoming instruments of propaganda and political communication by the parties. And of course we can believe in the polls, but it is essential to think about which ones, which source meets its objective of informing.
We are currently going through a phenomenon of post-truth and false news, we are in an era where stories matter more than data. Most pollsters are betting on speed rather than a truly representative sample. In this context, the surveys carried out in terms of voting preference in the State of Mexico, are inserted in a phenomenon of political and communicational struggle.
Another clear example is given to us by robotic surveys, which do not help with representative samples, even Several countries have abandoned them as a research methodology because they are unable to generate a representativenessalthough in Mexico they are still used.
Currently, Mexicans are in a post-truth process, with which we look for arguments that justify our points of view, and we observed this on election Sunday, where each person brought their own data.
Polls from the recent elections reflected the crisis that the credibility of these.